After watching the launch of ESPN's new system for rating quarterbacks last night, and seeing how it compares to the ancient QB Rating system, it really got me thinking.......Gold jacket? Green jacket? Who gives a shit?
But I'm never one to trust my first instinct, so then I decided to make my own list ranking all of the NFL's quarterbacks. So I will take the projected starter of each and every team heading into 2011 (there really isn't much competition within teams at the QB position this year. Denver? One-sided Neckbeard. Washington? Starter is bad, but not Rex Grossman bad. Seattle? Probably most legit, but they already announced Tarvaris Jackson as the starter. Carolina? Probably the only unknown heading into Week 1, but there's no need to include Derek Anderson in this list just to rank him last.). To be clear, this list is my projection of how the QB's will fare THIS SEASON.
And then, I will determine which rating system is best, ESPN's brand spankin' new Total Quarterback Rating or the now-39-year-old QB Rating system (of all passers with atleast 20 career passing attempts, try and guess who has the highest QB Rating of all time - answer in the notes below), by comparing them to my personal rankings.
Yes, I realize this doesn't make logistical sense (should be ranking the QB's according to last year's play). No, I don't care (that's how I roll).
Find 2010's Total Quarterback Ratings here.
Find 2010's old QB Ratings here.
On to the list...
1. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers
2. Tom Brady, New England Patriots
3. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints
4. Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers
5. Peyton Manning, Indianapolis Colts
6. Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers
7. Matt Schaub, Houston Texans
8. Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons
9. Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions
10. Tony Romo, Dallas Cowboys
11. Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens
12. Donovan McNabb, Minnesota Vikings
13. Michael Vick, Philadelphia Eagles
14. Matt Cassel, Kansas City Chiefs
15. Sam Bradford, St. Louis Rams
16. Ryan Fitzpatrick, Buffalo Bills
17. Kyle Orton, Denver Broncos
18. Eli Manning, New York Giants
19. Josh Freeman, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20. Mark Sanchez, New York Jets
21. Kevin Kolb, Arizona Cardinals
22. Jason Campbell, Oakland Raiders
23. David Garrard, Jacksonville Jaguars
24. Jay Cutler, Chicago Bears
25. Colt McCoy, Cleveland Browns
26. Carson Palmer, Cincinnati Bengals
27. Chad Henne, Miami Dolphins
28. Alex Smith, San Francisco 49ers
29. Matt Hasselbeck, Tennessee Titans
30. Cam Newton, Carolina Panthas
31. Tarvaris Jackson, Seattle Seahawks
32. John Beck, Washington Redskins
Notes:
*The top 6 QB's are in a division of their own. That's a huge bitch between 6 and 7.
*Matt Schaub over Matt Ryan null and voids the Matty Ice nickname for the 2011 season.
*Obviously, I think Matthew Stafford is the QB who takes "the leap" this season.
*I've got McNabb outperforming Vick this season. I'm cool with you not understanding right now (and am fully prepared to eat crow by season's end). Although, I hope my hatred for Vick has been made painfully obvious by now.*My fall from grace prediction goes to Eli Manning. Just a hunch.
*My favorite bumpkin QB is Ryan Fitzpatrick, who sneaks his way into the top half of the list.
*My fluke of 2010 goes to Josh Freeman. I've counted him out many times before, and I will continue to do so. Nice fro though.*The NFL's top backup, Detroit's Shaun Hill, would rank 14th on my list. Seriously.
*List of QB's who could be affected from last season's Playoffs: Cutler, Ryan, Roethlisberger (in that order).*List of QB's who could be affected by offseason happenings: Garrard, Palmer, Orton (in that order).
*The answer to the QB with the highest NFL rating of all time (over 20 attempts) IS....Antwaan Randle El (career: 22-27, 323 yards, 6 TD's, 0 INT's, QB Rating of 156.1).
Old QB Rating vs. Total QB Rating
The unscientific, illogical, irrational results are in AND.....
Old QB Rating = Difference of 133 / 25 QB's = 5.32
Total QB Rating = Difference of 130 / 27 QB's = 4.81
Winner - Total QB Rating
Lets go eat a snack,
His dirkness
4 comments:
i absolutely love the new TQBR. i am a stat nerd and always will be. AND i LOVE debating sports, so the new TQBR not only gives me firepower in debates about QBs, but it also gives the sports world a wonderful measuring stick to determine who is ACTUALLY the best QB of our generation... (Peyton Manning - The King, The God, The Immortal One)
side note: of course Cassel is smack dab in the middle of the pack at #16... sheesh. in the words of Chandler Bing - could he BE more average???
-Marshall Cheek
The new QBR is really cool. I read the old ESPN breakdown of how that shiat works and I'm impressed. The old QB rating system was "Oh that's wack" -Puddy. I have no reason to believe Cassel doesn't improve yet again this season. He has gotten better every season he has played. I think Zorn can only add to his game along with another year in Haley's system and better receivers. So in conclusion Matt Cassel makes top 10 Qb's this year and Donovan McNabb is a brokedown horse along with the fact that Vick under Andy Reid again will also improve. Coaching baby...coaching
Dr. Xedrick von Zaveous
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